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Author Topic: Investing Again  (Read 8516 times)

AWDstylez

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Re: Investing Again
« Reply #60 on: May 01, 2009, 09:21:26 PM »

Most importantly, DON'T buy anything right now.  We're waaaay overbought, the market is being floated by only god knows what artifical means, and the next crash will happen.  Wait for that day that's solidly into the next big downturn when everyone starts talking about the end of the world, no hope of a recovery, news is just getting worse and worse, and throw all your money at any big name that's taken a beating.

Short covering is my take. You have plenty of Roubini followers who thought the world would be ending, bought gold and shorted everything else. Roubini's S&P 500 call was the moment that marked the bottom for now, there were no sellers to take the market below 666. Right now there are enough sellers at 875 to keep the market here while shorts are covered for a loss.

I'd be really tempted to put on a put spread at 875, but I think this could hold much longer than it should just because of all the people caught the wrong way.

Agreed.  That's the only theory I've heard so far that makes any sense.  Notice the declining volume on the dow.  Are the shorts almost done covering?  Maybe.

The only problem I have with it being explained by short covering alone, is that both the Dow and Nasdaq have solidly broken long term down trend lines.  Is short covering really that powerful?  It's only a small kink in the theory, but it keeps me wondering.  I think the short covering rally is also being fueled by idiots buying into the hype, and funds pumping the market to keep the insanity going so they can maximize profit before they let it fall on its face. 
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Dweezil

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Re: Investing Again
« Reply #61 on: May 01, 2009, 09:29:38 PM »

I bought that for yesterday being the end of the month and hedgies wanting to show they have the right stuff on the books. Today the only thing I can put together is people trading backwards and think there's going to be a big move over 900 up to 1050 on the high side.

I think there's too much resistance to the upside right now and am waiting for some kind of correction then taking a shot at the SPY. I'm guessing we could bounce off 875-880 for a while as supply overwhelms at that level.
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Joseph Davis

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Re: Investing Again
« Reply #62 on: May 01, 2009, 10:31:47 PM »

Yet again, Tyler displays his complete inability to participate in any car-related theme on this, or any, forum.

AWDstylez

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Re: Investing Again
« Reply #63 on: May 02, 2009, 10:54:20 AM »

Eat a dick, baldy.  (R)HMT stopped being about cars years ago.  Don't be sad that's everyone is moving on and you're still playing alone because it's the only subject you know anything about.
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AWDstylez

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Re: Investing Again
« Reply #64 on: May 02, 2009, 10:57:50 AM »

I bought that for yesterday being the end of the month and hedgies wanting to show they have the right stuff on the books. Today the only thing I can put together is people trading backwards and think there's going to be a big move over 900 up to 1050 on the high side.

I think there's too much resistance to the upside right now and am waiting for some kind of correction then taking a shot at the SPY. I'm guessing we could bounce off 875-880 for a while as supply overwhelms at that level.

So I'm guessing you're not thinking we're going to retest the lows right away.
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Dweezil

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Re: Investing Again
« Reply #65 on: May 02, 2009, 08:47:15 PM »

The 666 S&P level? No. Right now I have doubts about seeing that again anytime soon if ever. But you have to trade what's in front of you, not what there should be.

Side note, RHMT portfolio:

DEO - Liquor
NUE - Steel
HON - Turbos
XFI - Ching-chong-meow W/ side of fried rice and an eggroll
PLA - Closest thing to porn that's publicly traded
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BoostedSchemes

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Re: Investing Again
« Reply #66 on: May 03, 2009, 03:35:59 AM »

am I the only motherfucker who posts on here from 3-5am?  :(
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